7 products issued by NWS for: Liberty TX
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1022 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

TXC291-339-373-407-170845-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FA.W.0029.000000T0000Z-240517T0845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Liberty TX-Montgomery TX-Polk TX-San Jacinto TX-
1022 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...A portion of southeast Texas, including the following
counties, Liberty, Montgomery, Polk and San Jacinto.

* WHEN...Until 345 AM CDT.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying
and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. Numerous roads
remain closed due to flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1022 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly in the warned area. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain
have fallen.
- Flooding impacts will continue, but no additional rainfall is
expected.
- Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Cleveland, Livingston, Shepherd, Coldspring, Point Blank,
Goodrich, North Cleveland, Lake Livingston State Park, West
Livingston, Alabama-Coushatta Reservation, Romayor, Rye,
Tarkington Prairie, Segno and Evergreen.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.



LAT...LON 3073 9521 3078 9505 3085 9462 3049 9454
3049 9473 3032 9467 3030 9471 3026 9499
3026 9513 3029 9525 3036 9532 3059 9531

---

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
942 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



Menard Creek near Rye affecting Hardin, Polk and Liberty Counties.

East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Montgomery
and Liberty Counties.

Navasota River near Normangee affecting Brazos, Madison and
Grimes Counties.

Brazos River near Rosharon affecting Fort Bend and Brazoria
Counties.

For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
For the Navasota River...including Normangee...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.

The next statement will be issued by Friday afternoon at 345 PM CDT.



TXC201-291-339-172045-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-240522T0300Z/
/NCET2.2.ER.240515T0331Z.240519T1800Z.240521T1500Z.NO/
942 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.

* WHERE...East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 62.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with
secondary roads near the river inundated, including FM 1485 west
of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 58.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 54.5 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:00 PM CDT Thursday was 60.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 64.4
feet early Sunday afternoon. It will then fall below flood
stage late Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
64.6 feet on 02/14/2004.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



Fld Observed Forecasts (10 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun

East Fork San Jacinto
New Caney 58.0 58.2 Thu 9 pm CDT 59.7 61.9 63.7




LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
3014 9517

---

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
942 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



Menard Creek near Rye affecting Hardin, Polk and Liberty Counties.

East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Montgomery
and Liberty Counties.

Navasota River near Normangee affecting Brazos, Madison and
Grimes Counties.

Brazos River near Rosharon affecting Fort Bend and Brazoria
Counties.

For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
For the Navasota River...including Normangee...Minor flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.

The next statement will be issued by Friday afternoon at 345 PM CDT.



TXC199-291-373-172045-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0091.240517T0242Z-240520T2303Z/
/RYET2.2.ER.240517T0027Z.240518T1200Z.240520T1103Z.NO/
942 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.

* WHERE...Menard Creek near Rye.

* WHEN...From this evening to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low
lying areas along the creek are inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 17.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:15 PM CDT Thursday was 22.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river will rise to 24.2 feet early tomorrow
afternoon. It will then fall tomorrow evening. It will rise
to 27.5 feet Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood
stage Monday morning.
- Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
27.2 feet on 03/30/2018.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun

Menard Creek
Rye 20.0 22.0 Thu 9 pm CDT 24.1 26.4 22.9




LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
3053 9486 3056 9475

---

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
816 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Liberty and Chambers
Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.

The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon at 230 PM CDT.



TXC071-291-171930-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.2.ER.240428T1900Z.240507T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.

* WHERE...Trinity River near Moss Bluff.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 15.2 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the
vicinity of the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 9.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 PM CDT Thursday was 15.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 15.2 feet.
- Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
15.2 feet on 06/03/2016.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun

Trinity River
Moss Bluff 12.2 15.5 Thu 7 pm CDT 15.1 15.1 15.1




LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

---

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
813 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.

The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon at 215 PM CDT.



TXC291-171915-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.3.ER.240429T2348Z.240506T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Trinity River at Liberty.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as homes in
several subdivisions above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive
flooding over much of Liberty County can be expected with each
incremental rise in the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 30.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 21.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:15 PM CDT Thursday was 30.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 31.2 feet early
Monday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
31.0 feet on 10/21/1994.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun

Trinity River
Liberty 26.0 30.0 Thu 7 pm CDT 30.1 30.8 31.1




LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489

---

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
803 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



Trinity River near Goodrich affecting Liberty, San Jacinto and
Polk Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor,
Goodrich, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Major flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/hgx.

The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon at 215 PM CDT.



TXC291-373-407-171915-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GRIT2.3.ER.240429T1705Z.240503T2145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is
forecast.

* WHERE...Trinity River near Goodrich.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 38.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins.
At 41.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as the slab elevation
of homes on the right bank just below Lake Livingston is reached.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 38.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 36.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:45 PM CDT Thursday was 38.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 42.2
feet early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 36.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
41.6 feet on 05/14/1966.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood



Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun

Trinity River
Goodrich 36.0 38.5 Thu 7 pm CDT 41.7 42.0 41.6




LAT...LON 3062 9503 3061 9495 3053 9477 3053 9489
3055 9503

---

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1238 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-211>213-300-313-171200-
/O.CON.KHGX.FA.A.0006.240516T1800Z-240517T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Houston-Trinity-Madison-Walker-San Jacinto-Polk-Burleson-Brazos-
Washington-Grimes-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Austin-Waller-
Inland Harris-Southern Liberty-Coastal Harris-
Including the cities of The Woodlands, Houston, Crockett,
Caldwell, Pasadena, Baytown, Dayton, Madisonville, Brenham,
Coldspring, Bryan, Sealy, Huntsville, Corrigan, Somerville,
Prairie View, Bellville, Brookshire, Livingston, Shepherd,
Waller, Conroe, College Station, Groveton, Devers, Hempstead,
Trinity, Cleveland, Navasota, and Liberty
1238 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024



* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.

* WHERE...A portion of southeast Texas, including the following
areas, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Coastal Harris, Grimes, Houston,
Inland Harris, Madison, Montgomery, Northern Liberty, Polk, San
Jacinto, Southern Liberty, Trinity, Walker, Waller and Washington.

* WHEN...Through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Widespread thunderstorms will develop across the area this
afternoon and evening, with the presence of a warm frontal
boundary and abundant moisture providing favorable conditions
for heavy rainfall. The flood threat will be further
exacerbated by well-saturated soils still present across
portions of the region due to significant antecedent
rainfall. In general, 3-6" of new rainfall can be expected
for areas north of the I-10 corridor through this evening.
Isolated locally higher totals are possible as well. This may
result in street flooding, as well as rises along area rivers
and creeks.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.