Hazardous Weather Outlook for Blackjack, Texas
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1137 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-151645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1137 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Heavy rainfall returns to the forecast by Thursday, as the next
system pushes into the region. Another 3-5 inches of rainfall will
be possible in some locations, with a Moderate Risk of excessive
rainfall late Thursday into Friday morning. A new flood watch will
likely be needed ahead of this event, but there is still some
uncertainty as to how far north the heaviest rainfall axis will
shift. In addition, the threat of a few strong to severe storms
cannot be ruled out during this late week timeframe. Otherwise,
improving weather conditions are expected by this weekend through
early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Flood Warning for Blackjack, Texas
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
944 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Ayish Bayou Near San Augustine affecting Sabine and San Augustine
Counties.
For the Ayish Bayou...including San Augustine...Minor flooding is
forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 700 AM CDT.
TXC403-405-151200-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-240515T1200Z/
/AYIT2.1.ER.240513T0621Z.240513T1515Z.240514T1800Z.NO/
944 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Ayish Bayou near San Augustine.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Lowland flooding of the heavily wooded
floodplain will continue for the next several days.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 14.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
this afternoon and continue falling to 5.9 feet Sunday
morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.2 feet on 01/19/2017.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
LAT...LON 3156 9415 3155 9409 3139 9414 3130 9412
3130 9416