One product issued by NWS for: 4 Miles W Heavener OK
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
104 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
104 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Oklahoma.
ONSET...Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA... Far Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon,
mainly along and south of I-44 in eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas as a compact system moves through the area. Lack of any
deep layer shear will keep storms rather unorganized, but a
limited severe potential will exist with the strongest storms. The
primary threat will be strong downbursts with damaging wind gusts
possible. The storms will also be slow moving and locally heavy
rainfall could occur with a seasonably moist airmass in place.
Saturated soils from recent rainfall could also aid in an
isolated flash flood threat where storms rain over the same areas.

Later tonight, more fog is expected across the region, with
greater coverage of dense fog possible across far eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas after midnight tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.


SATURDAY...Dense Fog Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Areas of Dense fog could be ongoing Saturday morning across parts
of eastern Oklahoma and especially northwest Arkansas. Fog should
dissipate by mid morning. Above normal temperatures return for
the weekend. Both Sunday night and Monday night, the southern end
of expected thunderstorm complexes to the north of the Kansas and
Missouri borders may affect parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as well. A cold front Tuesday should increase
the shower and thunderstorm chances areawide. Severe weather is
looking more likely with the Tuesday storms, although details are
uncertain at this time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.