Hazardous Weather Outlook for Summit, Oklahoma
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
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455 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and West of Highway 75 in Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Early Evening.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
An elevated threat for severe weather exists from late this
afternoon into the evening and overnight, focused across portions
of northeast and east central Oklahoma mainly along and northwest
of Interstate 44. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
severe weather hazard, although areas along and west of Highway 75
will have a limited tornado threat, especially during the evening
hours. Thunderstorms that develop across northeast Oklahoma and
also to the west of the area will progress eastward overnight,
although the severe weather threat is expected to decrease with
time and with eastward progress toward the Oklahoma and Arkansas
border. Heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding could occur
primarily across parts of northeast Oklahoma.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms are ongoing early this morning
in parts of northeast Oklahoma, with additional development
possible into late morning. Although a strong storm cannot be
ruled out, severe weather is not expected with the morning
thunderstorms.
In addition, reduced visibilities due to patchy fog in valley
areas of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas should
improve by mid morning.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase during the day
Thursday and continue into Thursday night, due to an upper level
storm system to the west. Heavy rain and flash flooding is
expected to be the main concern, although a limited threat for
severe weather will exist. Thunderstorm chances should end from
southwest to northeast Friday as the storm system lifts northeast
of the region.
After a dry and hot weekend, low chances for thunderstorms return
to primarily parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
both Sunday night and Monday night as overnight thunderstorm
complexes to the north brush portions of the area. By Tuesday, an
approaching cold front could bring another round of thunderstorms
to the region.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.