Hazardous Weather Outlook for Posey, Oklahoma
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
100 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-280945-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
100 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TONIGHT...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This afternoon.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This afternoon.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This evening.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Critical.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...This afternoon.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma and portions of Northwest Arkansas.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...This Morning.
DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to develop this later this afternoon
over Oklahoma. The threat of severe weather is present across the
area, but the greater threat will be over eastern Oklahoma.
All severe hazards will be possible, including tornadoes, large hail,
and damaging winds.into the area from the west. This evening, additional
storms to the west will merge with ongoing activity, and will shift the
severe threat towards a heavy rain and flash flooding threat. The highest threat
remains across northeast Oklahoma, but all areas have at least some potential.
Total rainfall in the hardest hit areas may exceed several inches.
Continue to pay special attention to forecast updates considering
the ongoing dual threat of severe weather and flooding rains through
tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain will continue into Sunday across northwest AR before it
finally moves east. Additional strong to severe storms are possible
over southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Sunday afternoon.
Winds will remain breezy with gusts of 30-40 mph.
For the rest of the week we will see additional rounds of rain and
thunderstorms, including the threat of severe weather and heavy
rains for mid week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
Flood Warning for Posey, Oklahoma
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
338 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...
Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties.
OKC131-143-280845-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.240428T1751Z-240430T0149Z/
/CVLO2.1.ER.240428T1751Z.240429T1200Z.240429T1949Z.NO/
338 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Caney River near Collinsville.
* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon to Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 27.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. County
roads north of Collinsville may be covered with water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
early Sunday afternoon to a crest of 27.0 feet Monday
morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday
afternoon.
- Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
LAT...LON 3643 9580 3636 9564 3630 9570 3635 9588
Flood Watch for Posey, Oklahoma
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1251 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
OKZ054>068-070-071-073-281000-
/O.CON.KTSA.FA.A.0001.240427T2100Z-240428T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Muskogee-
McIntosh-Pittsburg-
Including the cities of Tahlequah, McAlester, Wagoner, Vinita,
Pawnee, Okemah, Muskogee, Jay, Nowata, Pawhuska, Tulsa, Okmulgee,
Pryor, Bartlesville, Checotah, Claremore, Sapulpa, Miami, and
Grove
1251 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.
* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast
Oklahoma, including the following counties, in east central
Oklahoma, Cherokee, Muskogee and Okfuskee. In northeast Oklahoma,
Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Okmulgee, Osage, Ottawa,
Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington OK. In southeast
Oklahoma, McIntosh and Pittsburg.
* WHEN...From 4 PM CDT this afternoon through Sunday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop to the west
of the area this afternoon and increase in areal coverage and
intensity as they move into eastern Oklahoma this evening and
continue into the overnight hours. Expect rainfall amounts
from 2 to 5 inches to be common, with localized totals from 6
to 7 inches.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.