Hazardous Weather Outlook for Welch, Oklahoma
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1234 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1234 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Western Arkansas and Extreme Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Mid-afternoon.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mostly Southeast of I-44.
ONSET...Mid-afternoon.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Tonight.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop this afternoon
across much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. There will
be a chance for strong to severe storms, mainly southeast of I-44
later this afternoon into the evening. The primary threats will
be large hail and damaging winds, however a non-zero tornado
threat could develop in parts of western Arkansas and adjacent
areas of eastern Oklahoma. Locally heavy rainfall is also
possible.
Showers and thunderstorms will decrease this evening as
instability wanes. There will be some potential for fog to develop
late tonight across northwest Arkansas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Rain and thunderstorm chances increase again across far northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Tuesday afternoon. No severe
weather is expected. After a lull in precipitation Tuesday night
into Wednesday, thunderstorm chances increase again for the second
half of this week with limited severe potential as another series
of disturbances impact the region. Moderate to heavy rainfall is
possible with each round of storms and may lead to rises on rivers
and streams or areas of flash flooding.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.