Hazardous Weather Outlook for Arrowhead, Missouri
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
238 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
238 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated tornado risk.
Significant hail risk.
Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Significant lightning risk.
Significant excessive rainfall risk
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
DISCUSSION...
An east to west gradient of incraesing severe risk exists for our
forecast area tonight (generally after 7 PM). Springfield is
within a Slight (2/5) risk, Mount Vernon is within an Enhanced
(3/5) risk, and Joplin, Nevada and Pittsburg, KS are within a
Moderate (4/5) risk. For areas generally along and west of I-49,
significant severe weather is expected with strong tornadoes, hail
up to the size of baseballs, and wind gusts up to 70 mph all
possible.
Initial storms in this region will likely be training supercells
bringing all hazards before another round of storms comes through
as a line bringing mainly wind gusts and a spinup tornado or two.
This line of storms will move eastward and impact Springfield in
the early morning hours (generally between 1-4 AM).
With the training nature of storms, high amounts of moisture, and
multiple rounds of rain, significant area, river, and flash
flooding is also expected, especially in areas that have already
received 3-6 inches of rain. This includes locations along and
west of Highway 65. A Moderate (3/4) risk for excessive rainfall
exists for this area.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
There is a Slight (2/5) risk for severe weather Sunday as well.
All hazards will be possible for both days. Heavy rainfall and
flooding will also be possible with the storms. Portions of our
forecast area are in a Slight (2/4) risk for excessive rainfall
and flooding Sunday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be needed later today and tonight
for areas mainly west of the highway 65 corridor
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
Tornado Watch for Arrowhead, Missouri
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 149/154/155
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1142 PM CDT SAT APR 27 2024
MOC029-125-131-141-280900-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.A.0154.000000T0000Z-240428T0900Z/
TORNADO WATCH 154 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 4 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS
IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES
IN CENTRAL MISSOURI
CAMDEN MARIES MILLER
MORGAN
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF AURORA SPRINGS, CAMDENTON,
DECATURVILLE, ELDON, LAKE OZARK, LAURIE, OSAGE BEACH, ROACH,
ROCKY MOUNT, STOVER, VERSAILLES, VICHY,
AND VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS.