Warnings, Watches, Advisories, and Outlooks for Alpine,Colorado
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2 products issued by NWS for: 4 Miles E Saint Elmo CO

Hazardous Weather Outlook for Alpine, Colorado


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
458 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-201100-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
458 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight


There is a medium chance for isolated thunderstorms, a few severe,
across the eastern plains this afternoon. Highest chances are from
around noon through 3 PM, along and east of a Kim to Lamar line. The
strongest storm will be capable of producing hail to the size of
half dollars and wind gusts up to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday


A few storms will develop during the afternoon on Monday, mainly
north of Highway 50, with the highest probability being over the
Palmer Divide. Critical fire weather conditions will be possible
for the lower elevations of the Sangres, below 7500 feet, as well
as within the Wet Mountain Valley on Monday from afternoon
through early evening, and then for portions of these areas again
on Wednesday through Saturday during the afternoon and early
evening hours. There will be an uptick in thunderstorm activity
on Tuesday with some high elevation snow, followed by an overall
drier pattern for southeast Colorado from Wednesday through
Saturday. Only light accumulations are anticipated across the
highest elevations, with perhaps a few inches for the northern
Sawatch Range through the mid part of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.




Hydrologic Outlook for Alpine, Colorado


Hydrologic Outlook
COC015-065-241115-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
507 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024

...SPECIAL HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT...

This statement is primarily for areas below Turquoise Lake along
Lake Fork Creek, downstream to the Arkansas River confluence within
Lake County.

This statement is valid from May 15 to June 30, 2024.

The potential for elevated river levels and inundation of low-lying
areas, due to increased releases from Sugar Loaf Dam, is higher than
normal for areas along Lake Fork Creek in Lake County.


...OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 45 DAYS...

In order to make room for anticipated inflows to Turquoise Lake from
snowmelt runoff, and to prevent an uncontrolled spill from Sugar
Loaf Dam, The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation will increase reservoir
releases to 450 cfs beginning Wednesday May 15 and continuing
through June 30, 2024.

This release is expected to continue to inundate and cause damage to
County Road 5 in Lake County.

Local authorities and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation have been
actively notifying those downstream of Sugar Loaf Dam of these
anticipated impacts that could last through late June, and
mitigation measures to help fortify County Road 5 and other areas
are currently being made.

At this time, no additional flooding or impacts are expected further
downstream along Lake Fork Creek, or beyond its confluence with the
Arkansas River. Please continue to heed all road closures and
additional orders from local law enforcement and emergency
management.


...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...

For the latest information on reservoir conditions and releases from
Sugar Loaf Dam at Turquoise Lake, please contact Anna Perea, Public
Affairs Specialist with the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, at
aperea@usbr.gov

For the latest weather information and alert notifications for Lake
County, visit our web site at weather.gov/pub

For more hydrologic information including graphs of probabilistic
river outlooks and forecasts, visit the National Water Prediction
Service page at water.noaa.gov

Any use of the information on this page is at your own risk. This information should not be relied upon in life-threatening situations, potential financial loss situations or in lieu of any officially disseminated information. Visit the National Weather Service for official information.