Hazardous Weather Outlook for Excelsior, Arkansas
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
112 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
112 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well
as much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.
DISCUSSION...
Storms are expected to develop to the northwest along a cold front
will push towards northeast Oklahoma after midnight tonight.
Isolated severe storms will be possible with marginally severe
hail and wind the main threats.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind
Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An unsettled weather pattern will persist into the middle of next
week, with daily thunderstorm chances. The greatest potential for
organized severe weather will be from Monday into early Tuesday
as the flow aloft strengthens. The potential for flash flooding
will exist with any pockets of locally heavy rainfall that occur
over the next several days, especially those locations that have
already seen several rounds of heavier rainfall.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
Flood Watch for Excelsior, Arkansas
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
150 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-040700-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.A.0003.240504T1200Z-240506T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Fort Smith, Antlers, Eureka Springs,
Hugo, McAlester, Fayetteville, Grove, Pryor, Stilwell, Van Buren,
Bentonville, Berryville, Bartlesville, Miami, Pawhuska, Stigler,
Vinita, Poteau, Wilburton, Okmulgee, Checotah, Claremore, Nowata,
Okemah, Tulsa, Ozark, Clayton, Jay, Charleston, Sapulpa,
Tahlequah, Huntsville, Springdale, Rogers, Pawnee, Wagoner,
Muskogee, and Sallisaw
150 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...
* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...Portions of Arkansas, including the following counties,
Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and
Washington AR and Oklahoma, including the following counties,
Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Haskell,
Latimer, Le Flore, Mayes, McIntosh, Muskogee, Nowata, Okfuskee,
Okmulgee, Osage, Ottawa, Pawnee, Pittsburg, Pushmataha, Rogers,
Sequoyah, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington OK.
* WHEN...From Saturday morning through Sunday evening.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Widespread heavy rainfall over the last week has lead to very
saturated ground, excessive runoff, and rising rivers and
streams across the area. Another couple rounds of showers and
storms are expected this weekend, with widespread moderate to
locally heavy rainfall possible through Sunday evening.
Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches will be possible,
with locally higher amounts leading to both flash flooding
and mainstem river flooding concerns.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.
Flood Warning for Excelsior, Arkansas
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1119 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...The National Weather Service in Tulsa OK has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Arkansas...
Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian
Counties.
ARC033-131-040430-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0011.240504T0500Z-240505T0300Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.240504T0500Z.240504T1200Z.240504T2100Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TOMORROW
EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* WHEN...From late tonight to late tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs along the
shoreline from the I-540 bridge east towards Lavaca.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 11:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
just after midnight tonight to a crest of 22.3 feet tomorrow
morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow
afternoon.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454
3540 9454