Warnings, Watches, Advisories, and Outlooks for Alma,Arkansas
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Hazardous Weather Outlook for Alma, Arkansas


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
436 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-240945-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
436 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma northwest of I-44.
ONSET...This afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms may be ongoing early this morning, along and
north of a warm front draped across northeast Oklahoma. While
severe weather is not expected, some brief heavy rainfall will
occur. The warm front is expected to lift slowly north today, and
there could be additional thunderstorm development near the
boundary this afternoon, especially across parts of Pawnee and
Osage counties. These storms could pose a severe weather risk,
with large hail and gusty winds being the main threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will persist for the remainder of this week
and into the weekend, with the focus being parts of northeast
Oklahoma and at times, far northwest Arkansas. Given that this
area may not have sufficient time to dry out, flash flooding could
continue to be a concern, in addition to the expected long
duration mainstem river flooding.

The chances of additional severe weather and heavy rainfall look
to increase by Tuesday into Wednesday as an upper system
approaches from the southwestern states.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.




Flood Warning for Alma, Arkansas


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
301 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in

Arkansas...

Arkansas River at Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sebastian
Counties.

Arkansas River at Ozark Lock and Dam affecting Franklin...Johnson
and Logan Counties.

ARC033-131-231600-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBUA4.3.ER.190512T1630Z.190525T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...

The Flood Warning continues for
The Arkansas River at Van Buren.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 AM Thursday, the stage was 27.30 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River at Van Buren will continue rising to
near 34.0 feet early Saturday afternoon and then remain above
33.1 feet through Monday. Flows will increase to near 506,470
cubic feet per second by Saturday night.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, very damaging flooding occurs along the
Arkansas River floodplain. The port of Fort Smith and nearby
businesses are severely flooded. Several residential subdivisions
around Fort Smith are flooded. Backwater flooding occurs in the
trailer parks next to Lee Creek. This is comparable to the December
30, 2015 flood when the river crested at 34.63 feet and May 5, 1990
when the river crested at 36.1 feet. This is an extremely dangerous
and life threatening situation.



LAT...LON 3549 9439 3539 9422 3531 9422 3531 9454 3540 9454




Flood Warning for Alma, Arkansas


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
252 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in

Arkansas...Oklahoma...

Lee Creek near Van Buren affecting Crawford and Sequoyah Counties.

ARC033-OKC135-231552-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VBRA4.3.ER.190523T0631Z.190524T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
252 AM CDT Thu May 23 2019

...This is a dangerous and life threatening situation...

The Flood Warning continues for
The Lee Creek near Van Buren.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:00 AM Thursday, the estimated stage was 399.8 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 401.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
before dawn and continue to rise to near 408.0 feet by early
Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 408.0 feet, major flooding occurs downstream from the
Lee Creek Reservoir. The recreational campground near Rena Road is
severely flooded. Rena Road is inundated by high water. Several
residences along Lee Creek downstream from the reservoir are
flooded. Flooding is comparable to the flooding which occurred on
April 24, 2004. This is a dangerous and life-threatening situation.



LAT...LON 3554 9437 3542 9437 3542 9442 3554 9452


Any use of the information on this page is at your own risk. This information should not be relied upon in life-threatening situations, potential financial loss situations or in lieu of any officially disseminated information. Visit the National Weather Service for official information.

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