Hazardous Weather Outlook for Wesley, Arkansas
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
512 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
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512 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
...FLOODING CONCERNS INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma, west of Highway 75.
ONSET...Late Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Eastern Oklahoma, Late Tonight.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late tonight, but a more significant threat
develops Saturday night into Sunday morning.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Limited Ongoing...Elevated late tonight.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
A complex of thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma from the west...most likely after 4 AM. While the complex
is likely to be weakening overall as it progresses further into
eastern Oklahoma, there is still potential for storms to be
strong to severe with damaging winds and a limited tornado
threat, mainly west of Highway 75. Heavy rainfall will also be a
factor with this complex, with localized flash flood potential.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms may ongoing across portions
of eastern Oklahoma Friday morning as a strong upper low lifts
into the Central Plains. The severe threat will continue as storms
move across the remainder of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
during the day Friday. Large hail and damaging winds will be the
primary threats, although a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
There is a slight chance that a few isolated supercells could develop
across portions of northeast Oklahoma late Friday afternoon or
evening. With a very unstable air-mas in place, all modes of
severe weather would be possible, including the potential for tornadoes.
Another round of severe weather is expected Saturday and especially
into Saturday night. All modes of severe weather will again be
possible including a few tornadoes, torrential rainfall and flash
flooding. The severe weather and flooding threat will likely continue
on Sunday.
Limited thunderstorm chances return Tuesday and Wednesday.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to closely monitor the latest forecast concerning the severe
weather and flood potential through this weekend. Specific severe
weather threats and timing will continue to be refined over the
next several days.
A more significant flood threat could develop Saturday night into
Sunday morning across northeast Oklahoma.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.