Hazardous Weather Outlook for Aurora, Arkansas
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
847 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
418 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
...FLOODING CONCERNS INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Very limited.
Area...Northeast Oklahoma, west of Highway 75.
Onset...Late tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing and again late tonight.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late tonight, but a more significant threat
develops Saturday night into Sunday morning.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing and again late tonight.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue this morning across
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few marginally severe
hail producing storms will be possible across northeast Oklahoma
through early afternoon.
Additional thunderstorms are expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma from the west late tonight. A few of these storms could
be strong to severe with damaging winds and a very limited
tornado threat, mainly west of Highway 75.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind and Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY and Wednesday...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms may ongoing across portions
of eastern Oklahoma Friday morning as a strong upper low lifts
into the Central Plains. The severe threat will continue as storms
move across the remainder of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
during the day Friday. Large hail and damaging winds will be the
primary threats, although a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
There is a slight chance that an isolated supercell could develop
across portions of northeast Oklahoma late Friday afternoon or
evening. With a very unstable air-mas in place, all modes of
severe weather would be possible.
Another round of severe weather is expected Saturday and especially
into Saturday night. All modes of severe weather will again be
possible including a few tornadoes, torrential rainfall and flash
flooding. The severe weather and flooding threat will likely continue
on Sunday.
Limited thunderstorm chances return Tuesday and Wednesday.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to closely monitor the latest forecast concerning the severe
weather and flood potential through this weekend. Specific severe
weather threats and timing will continue to be refined over the
next several days.
A more significant flood threat could develop Saturday night into
Sunday morning across northeast Oklahoma.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.