...LEE MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 16 the center of Lee was located near 12.6, -34.2 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.<br />

<div style="margin:auto;width:500px;background-color:yellow;font-size:30px;font-family:verdana;text-align:center">  Tropical Storm   Lee<br /><div style="font-size:20px">Sustained Wind Speed:   40 MPH<br >Location: Lon:  -34.2 Lat:   12.6<br />Movement:   W at 10 mph<br />Pressure:   1007 mb : 29.74 Hg</div></div>
[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="600" ]<img style="margin:auto;" src="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/AL142017_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png" alt="Current Track of   Tropical Storm " width="600" height="492" /> Current Track of   Tropical Storm   Lee [/caption]
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[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="600" ]<img style="margin:auto;" src="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/AL142017_wind_probs_34_F120.png" alt="Probability of Tropical Force Winds" width="600" height="492" />Probability of Tropical Force Winds for   Tropical Storm   Lee [/caption]
[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="600" ]<img style="margin:auto;" src="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/AL142017_wind_probs_64_F120.png" alt="Probability of   Tropical Storm Force Winds" width="600" height="492" />Probability of   Tropical Storm Force Winds for   Tropical Storm   Lee [/caption]
[caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="600" ]<img style="margin:auto;" src="http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT14/refresh/AL142017_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/210044_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png" alt="Tropical Force Winds Arrival Time" width="600" height="492" />Tropical Force Winds Arrival Time for   Tropical Storm   Lee [/caption]
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<iframe style="margin:auto;" src="http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=  12.6&lon= -34.2&zoom=4&info=ir&quality=100&width=800&height=800&mapcolor=black&map=standard&type=Animation&numframes=12" scrolling="no" height="600" width="800" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0"></iframe>
<br /><h2>WATCHES AND WARNINGS</h2><br />--------------------<br />There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.<br /><br /><br /><h2>DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK</h2><br />------------------------------<br />At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lee was<br />located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 34.2 West.  Lee is<br />moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is<br />expected to continue through Sunday.  A west-northwestward motion is<br />expected Sunday night and Monday.<br /><br />Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.<br />Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.<br /><br />Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)<br />from the center.<br /><br />The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).<br /><br /><br /><h2>HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND</h2><br />----------------------<br />None<br /><br /><br /><h2>NEXT ADVISORY</h2><br />-------------<br />Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.<br /><br /><br /><h2>DISCUSSION</h2>500 PM AST Sat Sep 16 2017

Lee has changed little in organization since the last advisory, and
the low-level center appears to be located along the northern edge
of a persistent cluster of deep convection.  Dvorak estimates have
not changed, and the initial intensity is kept at 35 kt based on
the earlier ASCAT data.

Lee is moving westward, or 270/9 kt, to the south of a weak
mid-level ridge, and it should maintain that trajectory for the
next 24 hours.  After that time, a break in the ridge should
develop, but the weak nature of the cyclone should prevent it from
turning too sharply toward the northwest.  The updated NHC track
forecast is relatively unchanged from the previous forecast, and it
continues to lie south of the various consensus aids, closest to
the HCCA model.

Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or so,
but continued north-northwesterly shear is likely to prevent
significant intensification.  Weakening is anticipated from 48
hours onward due to increasingly hostile shear, and Lee is likely
to become a depression by day 3 and degenerate into a remnant low
by day 5.  The intensity models have come down a little on this
cycle, and the NHC forecast is actually a little generous, staying
close to the SHIPS model along the upper bound of the guidance
envelope.

<h2>FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS</h2>

INIT  16/2100Z 12.6N  34.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  17/0600Z 12.6N  35.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  17/1800Z 12.7N  36.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  18/0600Z 13.2N  38.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  18/1800Z 13.9N  39.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 72H  19/1800Z 15.9N  43.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 96H  20/1800Z 17.5N  47.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
120H  21/1800Z 18.5N  51.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW